Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 Elections contested by The Brexit Party

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Constituency Electorate Turnout Votes Vote share Position
Aberafan Maesteg 69,817 63.6% 3,794 8.5% 4th
Aberdeen North 76,895 65.2% 813 1.6% 5th
Aberdeen South 76,560 65.5% 195 0.4% 6th
Aldridge-Brownhills 73,122 64.7% 334 0.7% 6th
Alloa and Grangemouth 72,265 63.2% 177 0.4% 7th
Alyn and Deeside 75,695 69.2% 3,137 6.0% 3rd
Angus and Perthshire Glens 77,006 73.4% 329 0.6% 5th
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber 71,707 70.7% 54 0.1% 5th
Ashfield 69,819 61.5% 2,137 5.0% 4th
Ashton-under-Lyne 72,278 57.2% 3,518 8.5% 3rd
Aylesbury 75,636 76.5% 309 0.5% 5th
Bangor Aberconwy 70,468 68.7% 455 0.9% 5th
Barking 71,822 57.1% 2,914 7.1% 3rd
Barnsley North 76,794 57.9% 13,139 29.5% 2nd
Barnsley South 75,896 49.4% 10,964 29.2% 2nd
Barrow and Furness 76,603 65.3% 1,355 2.7% 4th
Bassetlaw 75,773 62.9% 5,173 10.9% 3rd
Bath 73,241 77.7% 642 1.1% 4th
Bathgate and Linlithgow 71,650 65.9% 904 1.9% 6th
Battersea 71,949 76.3% 350 0.6% 5th
Beckenham and Penge 76,625 78.5% 464 0.8% 5th
Bedford 70,068 66.5% 794 1.7% 5th
Bermondsey and Old Southwark 70,602 65.0% 1,113 2.4% 4th
Bethnal Green and Stepney 77,000 64.9% 992 2.0% 5th
Bexleyheath and Crayford 69,948 67.6% 416 0.9% 6th
Bicester and Woodstock 70,389 73.9% 149 0.3% 5th
Birkenhead 76,271 67.9% 1,744 3.4% 5th
Birmingham Edgbaston 71,354 63.9% 1,096 2.4% 5th
Birmingham Erdington 76,856 54.0% 1,673 4.0% 3rd
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley 75,781 68.3% 997 1.9% 5th
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North 76,922 53.7% 1,271 3.1% 5th
Birmingham Ladywood 76,585 58.2% 980 2.2% 4th
Birmingham Northfield 73,483 59.5% 1,661 3.8% 4th
Birmingham Perry Barr 74,048 63.4% 1,333 2.8% 4th
Birmingham Selly Oak 76,285 63.4% 1,319 2.7% 5th
Birmingham Yardley 71,912 58.3% 2,103 5.0% 4th
Bishop Auckland 70,879 69.9% 2,739 5.5% 3rd
Blackburn 70,586 61.8% 2,590 5.9% 3rd
Blackley and Middleton South 71,375 52.6% 2,898 7.7% 3rd
Blackpool North and Fleetwood 75,396 66.4% 858 1.7% 5th
Blackpool South 76,071 55.8% 2,009 4.7% 3rd
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney 71,079 59.2% 7,574 18.0% 3rd
Blaydon and Consett 70,163 66.9% 4,555 9.7% 3rd
Blyth and Ashington 75,452 57.0% 3,921 9.1% 3rd
Bolsover 74,680 61.2% 3,920 8.6% 3rd
Bolton North East 77,020 64.7% 3,259 6.5% 3rd
Bolton South and Walkden 75,716 58.1% 2,361 5.4% 3rd
Bolton West 72,125 69.1% 385 0.8% 5th
Bootle 75,194 65.4% 2,610 5.3% 3rd
Bradford East 72,150 59.6% 2,647 6.2% 4th
Bradford South 70,890 57.7% 2,872 7.0% 3rd
Bradford West 71,258 62.1% 1,556 3.5% 3rd
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe 72,113 72.5% 964 1.8% 5th
Brent East 75,880 58.0% 175 0.4% 5th
Brentford and Isleworth 76,354 67.6% 1,063 2.1% 5th
Brent West 76,463 63.3% 750 1.5% 5th
Bridgend 70,770 66.0% 2,437 5.2% 5th
Brigg and Immingham 71,628 66.0% 329 0.7% 5th
Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven 69,865 70.8% 1,335 2.7% 5th
Brighton Pavilion 75,722 75.4% 762 1.3% 4th
Bristol Central 70,227 73.2% 593 1.2% 4th
Bristol East 75,936 72.8% 1,615 2.9% 5th
Bristol North East 69,793 70.1% 731 1.5% 5th
Bristol North West 76,783 76.1% 83 0.1% 5th
Bristol South 74,696 64.6% 2,054 4.3% 5th
Broxtowe 72,461 73.6% 364 0.7% 7th
Buckingham and Bletchley 73,644 71.4% 508 1.0% 6th
Burnley 75,436 62.4% 3,362 7.1% 4th
Bury North 77,009 69.4% 1,446 2.7% 4th
Bury South 74,598 66.5% 1,847 3.7% 4th
Caerfyrddin 72,683 73.4% 2,023 3.8% 4th
Caerphilly 72,458 62.2% 5,287 11.7% 4th
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross 75,173 70.1% 1,510 2.9% 5th
Cambridge 72,560 68.6% 958 1.9% 5th
Cardiff East 72,463 64.6% 1,617 3.5% 4th
Cardiff North 71,143 76.9% 1,450 2.7% 5th
Cardiff South and Penarth 72,269 69.7% 1,389 2.8% 5th
Cardiff West 73,947 70.2% 1,917 3.7% 5th
Carshalton and Wallington 72,755 67.5% 1,043 2.1% 4th
Ceredigion Preseli 74,063 69.8% 2,063 4.0% 5th
Chelsea and Fulham 76,481 71.6% 175 0.3% 6th
Chesterfield 70,722 63.9% 4,771 10.6% 3rd
Chester North and Neston 72,327 74.6% 1,502 2.8% 4th
Chester South and Eddisbury 71,975 76.7% 569 1.0% 5th
Chingford and Woodford Green 75,677 72.2% 160 0.3% 5th
Cities of London and Westminster 73,140 71.3% 103 0.2% 6th
City of Durham 72,878 70.4% 3,382 6.6% 4th
Clapham and Brixton Hill 75,460 64.4% 549 1.1% 5th
Clwyd East 76,395 69.1% 2,173 4.1% 5th
Clwyd North 76,150 67.4% 951 1.9% 5th
Colne Valley 71,518 72.4% 1,089 2.1% 4th
Coventry East 73,389 58.2% 2,194 5.1% 4th
Coventry North West 73,431 65.0% 1,956 4.1% 4th
Coventry South 70,998 65.9% 1,348 2.9% 4th
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy 70,329 67.0% 939 2.0% 6th
Cramlington and Killingworth 73,295 65.6% 3,855 8.0% 3rd
Crewe and Nantwich 76,236 65.8% 1,317 2.6% 4th
Croydon East 75,346 67.2% 837 1.7% 5th
Croydon South 71,541 71.1% 59 0.1% 6th
Croydon West 70,812 62.8% 587 1.3% 5th
Dagenham and Rainham 73,627 59.7% 2,913 6.6% 3rd
Darlington 70,446 65.7% 1,684 3.6% 4th
Derby North 71,876 65.4% 1,908 4.1% 4th
Derby South 72,067 58.9% 2,480 5.8% 4th
Dewsbury and Batley 70,226 65.6% 1,565 3.4% 4th
Doncaster Central 75,007 61.4% 7,173 15.6% 3rd
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme 70,113 61.4% 4,452 10.3% 3rd
Doncaster North 71,739 55.9% 8,151 20.3% 3rd
Dulwich and West Norwood 74,314 70.2% 566 1.1% 4th
Dundee Central 75,298 62.0% 1,191 2.6% 5th
Dunfermline and Dollar 70,725 68.7% 1 0.0% 6th
Dwyfor Meirionnydd 72,533 69.6% 2,558 5.1% 4th
Ealing Central and Acton 75,399 70.3% 720 1.4% 5th
Ealing Southall 75,085 67.9% 946 1.9% 5th
Earley and Woodley 70,083 72.9% 278 0.5% 5th
Easington 70,043 56.9% 7,230 18.1% 3rd
Eastbourne 73,322 69.9% 1,408 2.7% 4th
East Ham 70,902 66.6% 924 2.0% 4th
Edinburgh North and Leith 76,770 76.7% 508 0.9% 6th
Edinburgh South West 73,315 71.1% 625 1.2% 6th
Edinburgh West 76,723 71.7% 50 0.1% 6th
Edmonton and Winchmore Hill 75,204 64.2% 846 1.8% 5th
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough 71,027 63.7% 1,957 4.3% 4th
Eltham and Chislehurst 74,179 68.9% 1,317 2.6% 5th
Enfield North 76,824 66.1% 908 1.8% 5th
Erith and Thamesmead 76,728 56.2% 2,174 5.0% 3rd
Exeter 71,713 67.4% 1,257 2.6% 4th
Exmouth and Exeter East 74,502 74.9% 171 0.3% 7th
Falkirk 75,067 64.9% 176 0.4% 6th
Feltham and Heston 75,226 58.3% 1,524 3.5% 4th
Gateshead Central and Whickham 70,994 59.2% 1,629 3.9% 4th
Gedling 75,795 71.4% 1,820 3.4% 4th
Glasgow East 69,748 59.0% 25 0.1% 6th
Glasgow North 73,210 56.7% 246 0.6% 6th
Glasgow South 71,344 68.0% 452 0.9% 6th
Glasgow South West 70,431 61.1% 695 1.6% 5th
Glasgow West 72,499 65.2% 74 0.2% 6th
Glenrothes and Mid Fife 69,734 60.6% 1,284 3.0% 5th
Gorton and Denton 74,306 61.7% 2,225 4.9% 4th
Gower 76,801 70.6% 1,863 3.4% 5th
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes 77,050 54.1% 2,049 4.9% 4th
Greenwich and Woolwich 69,824 67.8% 1,089 2.3% 5th
Hackney North and Stoke Newington 75,401 68.1% 489 1.0% 5th
Hackney South and Shoreditch 75,197 63.6% 648 1.4% 5th
Halifax 74,563 64.1% 2,813 5.9% 3rd
Hammersmith and Chiswick 74,746 71.3% 976 1.8% 5th
Hampstead and Highgate 74,222 77.3% 719 1.3% 5th
Harrow East 76,299 68.5% 98 0.2% 5th
Harrow West 74,060 67.2% 882 1.8% 5th
Hartlepool 71,228 57.6% 10,603 25.8% 3rd
Hayes and Harlington 72,897 60.4% 1,292 2.9% 4th
Hazel Grove 72,941 69.2% 310 0.6% 4th
Hexham 72,738 74.2% 473 0.9% 5th
Heywood and Middleton North 73,306 57.9% 3,581 8.4% 3rd
High Peak 73,960 73.2% 1,177 2.2% 4th
Holborn and St Pancras 75,475 59.1% 836 1.9% 5th
Hornsey and Friern Barnet 70,565 74.4% 494 0.9% 5th
Houghton and Sunderland South 76,883 57.0% 6,895 15.7% 3rd
Hove and Portslade 73,726 76.5% 1,111 2.0% 5th
Huddersfield 76,044 64.9% 1,696 3.4% 5th
Hyndburn 71,145 59.6% 2,156 5.1% 3rd
Ilford North 74,684 69.3% 968 1.9% 4th
Ilford South 74,065 62.6% 1,034 2.2% 5th
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire 76,903 66.0% 1,042 2.1% 5th
Ipswich 75,117 66.0% 1,432 2.9% 4th
Islington North 73,970 72.7% 742 1.4% 5th
Islington South and Finsbury 75,905 68.7% 1,193 2.3% 5th
Jarrow and Gateshead East 71,106 57.0% 3,843 9.5% 3rd
Keighley and Ilkley 72,954 72.1% 850 1.6% 4th
Kenilworth and Southam 71,451 78.1% 86 0.2% 6th
Kensington and Bayswater 75,980 72.1% 453 0.8% 5th
Kingston and Surbiton 75,410 75.7% 649 1.1% 5th
Kingston upon Hull East 72,622 46.8% 5,710 16.8% 3rd
Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham 76,039 59.1% 4,857 10.8% 3rd
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice 74,321 56.0% 5,606 13.5% 3rd
Knowsley 71,228 65.2% 2,913 6.3% 3rd
Lancaster and Wyre 74,992 65.8% 890 1.8% 5th
Leeds Central and Headingley 75,396 57.9% 1,757 4.0% 4th
Leeds East 75,330 59.0% 2,601 5.9% 3rd
Leeds North East 70,976 71.2% 1,769 3.5% 5th
Leeds North West 71,607 77.7% 729 1.3% 6th
Leeds South 74,726 57.9% 2,771 6.4% 3rd
Leeds South West and Morley 71,376 61.1% 780 1.8% 6th
Leeds West and Pudsey 70,270 68.3% 1,330 2.8% 4th
Leicester East 76,465 63.1% 1,210 2.5% 4th
Leicester South 71,007 66.9% 1,100 2.3% 5th
Leicester West 72,848 53.0% 1,740 4.5% 4th
Leigh and Atherton 76,363 58.0% 2,572 5.8% 3rd
Lewes 75,091 74.0% 122 0.2% 5th
Lewisham East 71,706 65.3% 1,212 2.6% 5th
Lewisham North 73,504 68.8% 810 1.6% 5th
Lewisham West and East Dulwich 69,904 66.1% 832 1.8% 5th
Leyton and Wanstead 71,330 68.5% 836 1.7% 5th
Lincoln 74,128 68.3% 1,079 2.1% 5th
Liverpool Garston 70,372 69.8% 2,402 4.9% 4th
Liverpool Riverside 70,157 60.5% 1,089 2.6% 3rd
Liverpool Walton 71,181 65.4% 1,040 2.2% 4th
Liverpool Wavertree 71,076 72.4% 1,897 3.7% 5th
Liverpool West Derby 70,730 66.0% 2,293 4.9% 3rd
Llanelli 69,895 62.8% 3,893 8.9% 4th
Luton North 73,266 60.9% 1,319 3.0% 4th
Luton South and South Bedfordshire 70,197 64.2% 1,497 3.3% 4th
Makerfield 76,517 59.0% 5,902 13.1% 3rd
Manchester Central 75,311 53.8% 1,795 4.4% 4th
Manchester Rusholme 70,692 56.8% 1,621 4.0% 4th
Manchester Withington 71,614 69.5% 1,269 2.5% 5th
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare 74,805 57.6% 4,621 10.7% 3rd
Mid Buckinghamshire 72,240 75.1% 469 0.9% 5th
Mid Cheshire 69,775 67.2% 502 1.1% 5th
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East 71,742 52.4% 2,324 6.2% 4th
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland 69,967 64.3% 128 0.3% 6th
Mitcham and Morden 76,877 67.2% 1,202 2.3% 4th
Monmouthshire 72,681 72.7% 451 0.9% 6th
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr 74,223 69.0% 700 1.4% 6th
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey 76,237 73.8% 321 0.6% 7th
Morecambe and Lunesdale 76,040 73.2% 231 0.4% 6th
Neath and Swansea East 74,705 60.0% 3,965 8.8% 3rd
Newark 76,478 72.4% 193 0.3% 5th
Newcastle-under-Lyme 70,025 67.6% 1,921 4.1% 4th
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West 76,460 63.0% 3,934 8.2% 3rd
Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend 76,875 65.0% 2,452 4.9% 4th
Newcastle upon Tyne North 76,503 70.8% 3,118 5.8% 4th
Newport East 76,159 60.9% 2,843 6.1% 3rd
Newport West and Islwyn 76,234 63.7% 4,301 8.9% 3rd
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor 71,299 60.8% 3,374 7.8% 3rd
Normanton and Hemsworth 75,388 57.5% 6,609 15.2% 3rd
North Bedfordshire 76,319 73.6% 102 0.2% 6th
North Cotswolds 70,915 71.6% 175 0.3% 5th
North Durham 73,079 65.4% 5,106 10.7% 3rd
North East Derbyshire 72,344 68.4% 231 0.5% 5th
North East Fife 70,452 74.1% 184 0.4% 5th
North Norfolk 70,719 72.9% 1,739 3.4% 4th
North Northumberland 72,541 72.7% 775 1.5% 5th
North West Cambridgeshire 73,556 63.9% 25 0.1% 5th
Norwich North 71,441 70.6% 21 0.0% 6th
Norwich South 73,301 70.0% 1,635 3.2% 5th
Nottingham East 75,327 59.5% 1,527 3.4% 4th
Nottingham North and Kimberley 74,515 57.8% 2,424 5.6% 3rd
Nottingham South 76,076 59.3% 2,090 4.6% 4th
Oldham East and Saddleworth 72,997 63.2% 2,980 6.5% 3rd
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton 74,183 59.9% 3,316 7.5% 3rd
Orkney and Shetland 34,824 66.5% 900 3.9% 5th
Ossett and Denby Dale 71,595 67.9% 2,484 5.1% 3rd
Oxford East 72,371 63.0% 1,048 2.3% 5th
Oxford West and Abingdon 72,004 73.5% 769 1.5% 4th
Paisley and Renfrewshire North 69,941 66.9% 146 0.3% 5th
Peckham 71,176 62.6% 1,011 2.3% 5th
Penistone and Stocksbridge 71,377 69.4% 4,300 8.7% 4th
Penrith and Solway 76,720 72.7% 1,000 1.8% 5th
Perth and Kinross-shire 76,320 74.0% 402 0.7% 5th
Peterborough 72,273 65.4% 2,102 4.5% 4th
Plymouth Moor View 73,378 65.6% 110 0.2% 5th
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport 73,495 67.0% 2,799 5.7% 3rd
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley 72,751 56.7% 6,518 15.8% 3rd
Pontypridd 73,743 61.8% 3,855 8.5% 4th
Poplar and Limehouse 75,814 68.1% 1,219 2.4% 5th
Portsmouth South 74,253 63.9% 994 2.1% 4th
Preston 72,946 59.1% 1,793 4.2% 4th
Putney 73,041 76.0% 36 0.1% 5th
Queen's Park and Maida Vale 75,256 59.5% 413 0.9% 5th
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough 70,272 57.7% 6,535 16.1% 3rd
Reading Central 71,283 72.3% 574 1.1% 5th
Redcar 71,331 62.7% 2,915 6.5% 3rd
Rhondda and Ogmore 73,557 57.8% 4,902 11.5% 4th
Ribble Valley 75,993 68.7% 6 0.0% 7th
Rochdale 71,697 58.7% 3,451 8.2% 3rd
Rossendale and Darwen 74,593 66.9% 180 0.4% 5th
Rotherham 75,345 57.8% 7,408 17.0% 3rd
Rother Valley 70,184 64.8% 5,314 11.7% 3rd
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner 72,168 72.4% 49 0.1% 8th
Runcorn and Helsby 70,950 68.2% 2,302 4.8% 4th
Salford 72,169 57.9% 3,703 8.9% 3rd
Scunthorpe 74,278 63.6% 2,044 4.3% 3rd
Sefton Central 74,746 76.4% 2,081 3.6% 4th
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough 71,154 56.7% 3,916 9.7% 3rd
Sheffield Central 70,453 54.0% 1,170 3.1% 5th
Sheffield Hallam 76,637 78.4% 1,641 2.7% 5th
Sheffield Heeley 74,614 61.2% 3,643 8.0% 3rd
Sheffield South East 76,223 61.5% 5,032 10.7% 3rd
Slough 75,287 60.5% 1,280 2.8% 4th
Smethwick 71,195 57.5% 2,469 6.0% 3rd
Southampton Test 69,960 64.3% 1,591 3.5% 4th
South Cambridgeshire 75,484 79.6% 83 0.1% 5th
Southgate and Wood Green 76,034 69.3% 660 1.3% 5th
South Shields 69,725 65.7% 6,725 14.7% 3rd
Spen Valley 72,169 65.4% 1,627 3.4% 5th
Stalybridge and Hyde 73,028 58.0% 3,591 8.5% 3rd
St Helens North 76,082 62.5% 5,396 11.3% 3rd
St Helens South and Whiston 70,937 64.0% 4,822 10.6% 3rd
Stockport 74,769 61.5% 2,448 5.3% 4th
Stockton North 69,779 61.8% 3,896 9.0% 3rd
Stockton West 70,108 74.2% 2,427 4.7% 3rd
Stoke-on-Trent Central 70,550 57.6% 1,731 4.3% 3rd
Stoke-on-Trent North 69,821 59.9% 2,334 5.6% 3rd
Stratford and Bow 73,849 64.2% 1,107 2.3% 5th
Streatham and Croydon North 76,050 67.5% 658 1.3% 5th
Stretford and Urmston 73,212 68.4% 1,768 3.5% 4th
Stroud 76,249 79.6% 909 1.5% 5th
Sunderland Central 72,688 59.8% 5,047 11.6% 3rd
Swansea West 74,612 59.2% 3,022 6.8% 3rd
Tatton 75,538 73.3% 199 0.4% 5th
Tipton and Wednesbury 73,820 51.7% 2,234 5.8% 3rd
Tooting 76,986 76.0% 462 0.8% 5th
Torfaen 70,591 61.7% 5,742 13.2% 3rd
Tottenham 75,968 60.2% 588 1.3% 5th
Twickenham 75,889 76.9% 743 1.3% 4th
Tynemouth 73,022 73.9% 2,096 3.9% 4th
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green 69,995 66.3% 722 1.6% 5th
Wakefield and Rothwell 73,968 66.4% 1,586 3.2% 4th
Wallasey 73,054 70.5% 2,128 4.1% 3rd
Walsall and Bloxwich 74,866 60.9% 588 1.3% 5th
Walthamstow 70,867 68.2% 768 1.6% 5th
Warrington North 72,350 64.3% 2,617 5.6% 4th
Warrington South 76,639 70.6% 1,461 2.7% 4th
Warwick and Leamington 75,440 69.2% 721 1.4% 5th
Washington and Gateshead South 71,775 58.5% 5,784 13.8% 3rd
West Bromwich 72,206 57.3% 1,563 3.8% 3rd
West Ham and Beckton 70,590 57.3% 1,118 2.8% 4th
West Lancashire 73,652 71.5% 2,275 4.3% 4th
Westmorland and Lonsdale 72,322 74.9% 601 1.1% 4th
Whitehaven and Workington 73,385 67.3% 749 1.5% 4th
Widnes and Halewood 70,865 66.6% 3,592 7.6% 3rd
Wigan 75,607 59.6% 5,959 13.2% 3rd
Wimbledon 74,641 76.2% 139 0.2% 5th
Windsor 74,338 67.3% 152 0.3% 7th
Wirral West 72,126 77.7% 1,245 2.2% 5th
Witney 70,042 69.7% 9 0.0% 5th
Wolverhampton North East 70,449 56.2% 1,206 3.0% 4th
Wolverhampton South East 75,685 50.5% 2,263 5.9% 3rd
Wolverhampton West 75,592 67.4% 1,264 2.5% 4th
Worsley and Eccles 76,915 64.4% 3,541 7.1% 3rd
Wrexham 70,964 66.4% 1,778 3.8% 5th
Wythenshawe and Sale East 76,971 58.2% 2,717 6.1% 4th
Ynys Môn 52,415 69.7% 2,184 6.0% 4th
York Central 74,854 66.9% 1,216 2.4% 5th
York Outer 72,720 75.3% 263 0.5% 5th

Turnout as calculated by the House of Commons Library, is the total number of votes cast and not spoiled, divided by the size of the electorate.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.