Notional election for the constituency of Ceredigion Preseli on 12 December 2019

A notional election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Ceredigion Preseli, forming part of the notional general election on 12 December 2019.

Plaid Cymru win with a majority of 1,443 - 2.8% - on a turnout of 69.8%.

Candidates

Party Vote Vote share
Plaid Cymru 16,045 31.1%
Conservative 14,602 28.3%
Labour 10,733 20.8%
Liberal Democrat 7,561 14.6%
The Brexit Party 2,063 4.0%
Green Party 663 1.3%

An electorate of 74,063, having a valid vote count of 51,667.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.