Notional election for the constituency of Kensington and Bayswater on 12 December 2019

A notional election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Kensington and Bayswater, forming part of the notional general election on 12 December 2019.

Labour win with a majority of 390 - 0.7% - on a turnout of 72.1%.

An electorate of 75,980, having a valid vote count of 54,813.

Candidates

Party Vote Vote share
Labour 21,394 39.0%
Conservative 21,004 38.3%
Liberal Democrat 11,048 20.2%
Green Party 769 1.4%
The Brexit Party 453 0.8%
Christian Peoples Alliance Party 70 0.1%
Touch Love Worldwide (UK) 47 0.1%
Workers Revolutionary Party 28 0.1%

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.