Notional election for the constituency of Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr on 12 December 2019

A notional election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr, forming part of the notional general election on 12 December 2019.

Conservative win with a majority of 14,765 - 28.8% - on a turnout of 69.0%.

An electorate of 74,223, having a valid vote count of 51,208.

Candidates

Party Vote Vote share
Conservative 27,466 53.6%
Labour 12,701 24.8%
Liberal Democrat 8,595 16.8%
Plaid Cymru 1,019 2.0%
Gwlad Gwlad 727 1.4%
The Brexit Party 700 1.4%

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.