Notional election for the constituency of Bangor Aberconwy on 12 December 2019

A notional election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Bangor Aberconwy, forming part of the notional general election on 12 December 2019.

Conservative win with a majority of 749 - 1.5% - on a turnout of 68.7%.

An electorate of 70,468, having a valid vote count of 48,407.

Candidates

Party Vote Vote share
Conservative 19,355 40.0%
Labour 18,606 38.4%
Plaid Cymru 7,849 16.2%
Liberal Democrat 2,142 4.4%
The Brexit Party 455 0.9%

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.