Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 Wales - by majority

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Constituency Winning party Valid votes Majority (votes) Majority (%)
Rhondda and Ogmore Lab 42,549 17,377 40.8%
Cardiff East Lab 46,781 17,079 36.5%
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Lab 43,106 13,410 31.1%
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Lab 42,094 12,969 30.8%
Aberafan Maesteg Lab 44,423 13,457 30.3%
Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr Con 51,208 14,765 28.8%
Cardiff South and Penarth Lab 50,370 11,851 23.5%
Swansea West Lab 44,199 10,037 22.7%
Monmouthshire Con 52,872 10,837 20.5%
Cardiff West Lab 51,941 10,546 20.3%
Dwyfor Meirionnydd PC 50,518 9,880 19.6%
Pontypridd Lab 45,579 8,798 19.3%
Neath and Swansea East Lab 44,824 8,451 18.9%
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Con 52,276 9,091 17.4%
Mid and South Pembrokeshire Con 54,971 8,621 15.7%
Caerphilly Lab 45,069 6,901 15.3%
Cardiff North Lab 54,709 7,579 13.9%
Newport East Lab 46,405 5,239 11.3%
Clwyd East Con 52,820 5,284 10.0%
Torfaen Lab 43,553 4,110 9.4%
Llanelli Lab 43,892 3,793 8.6%
Caerfyrddin Con 53,342 4,529 8.5%
Wrexham Con 47,123 3,939 8.4%
Gower Lab 54,231 3,181 5.9%
Clwyd North Con 51,289 2,834 5.5%
Bridgend Con 46,708 2,553 5.5%
Ynys Môn Con 36,552 1,968 5.4%
Vale of Glamorgan Con 49,993 2,566 5.1%
Newport West and Islwyn Lab 48,537 2,001 4.1%
Ceredigion Preseli PC 51,667 1,443 2.8%
Bangor Aberconwy Con 48,407 749 1.5%
Alyn and Deeside Lab 52,350 411 0.8%

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.