Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 North West, England - Elections contested by Conservative

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Constituency Electorate Turnout Votes Vote share Position
Altrincham and Sale West 73,934 74.1% 26,311 48.0% 1st
Ashton-under-Lyne 72,278 57.2% 14,978 36.2% 2nd
Barrow and Furness 76,603 65.3% 26,551 53.1% 1st
Birkenhead 76,271 67.9% 8,063 15.6% 2nd
Blackburn 70,586 61.8% 10,182 23.3% 2nd
Blackley and Middleton South 71,375 52.6% 10,599 28.2% 2nd
Blackpool North and Fleetwood 75,396 66.4% 27,946 55.8% 1st
Blackpool South 76,071 55.8% 20,715 48.8% 1st
Bolton North East 77,020 64.7% 22,436 45.0% 1st
Bolton South and Walkden 75,716 58.1% 13,961 31.7% 2nd
Bolton West 72,125 69.1% 28,197 56.5% 1st
Bootle 75,194 65.4% 4,510 9.2% 2nd
Burnley 75,436 62.4% 19,056 40.5% 1st
Bury North 77,009 69.4% 25,285 47.3% 1st
Bury South 74,598 66.5% 21,574 43.5% 1st
Carlisle 75,868 67.5% 28,959 56.5% 1st
Cheadle 73,775 75.8% 25,694 46.0% 1st
Chester North and Neston 72,327 74.6% 20,746 38.5% 2nd
Chester South and Eddisbury 71,975 76.7% 32,703 59.2% 1st
Congleton 69,836 71.3% 30,207 60.6% 1st
Crewe and Nantwich 76,236 65.8% 25,511 50.8% 1st
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough 71,027 63.7% 12,234 27.1% 2nd
Fylde 75,114 69.2% 32,329 62.2% 1st
Gorton and Denton 74,306 61.7% 8,639 18.9% 2nd
Hazel Grove 72,941 69.2% 22,994 45.6% 1st
Heywood and Middleton North 73,306 57.9% 17,601 41.5% 2nd
Hyndburn 71,145 59.6% 20,565 48.5% 1st
Knowsley 71,228 65.2% 4,060 8.7% 2nd
Lancaster and Wyre 74,992 65.8% 23,683 48.0% 1st
Leigh and Atherton 76,363 58.0% 19,410 43.8% 1st
Liverpool Garston 70,372 69.8% 5,729 11.7% 2nd
Liverpool Riverside 70,157 60.5% 3,297 7.8% 2nd
Liverpool Walton 71,181 65.4% 4,607 9.9% 2nd
Liverpool Wavertree 71,076 72.4% 4,926 9.6% 2nd
Liverpool West Derby 70,730 66.0% 4,015 8.6% 2nd
Macclesfield 75,881 71.0% 28,292 52.5% 1st
Makerfield 76,517 59.0% 15,477 34.3% 2nd
Manchester Central 75,311 53.8% 8,500 21.0% 2nd
Manchester Rusholme 70,692 56.8% 3,653 9.1% 2nd
Manchester Withington 71,614 69.5% 5,607 11.3% 3rd
Mid Cheshire 69,775 67.2% 22,022 46.9% 1st
Morecambe and Lunesdale 76,040 73.2% 29,834 53.6% 1st
Oldham East and Saddleworth 72,997 63.2% 18,589 40.3% 2nd
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton 74,183 59.9% 13,452 30.3% 2nd
Pendle and Clitheroe 76,941 63.0% 27,619 56.9% 1st
Penrith and Solway 76,720 72.7% 30,576 54.8% 1st
Preston 72,946 59.1% 12,847 29.8% 2nd
Ribble Valley 75,993 68.7% 31,261 59.8% 1st
Rochdale 71,697 58.7% 13,270 31.6% 2nd
Rossendale and Darwen 74,593 66.9% 28,124 56.3% 1st
Runcorn and Helsby 70,950 68.2% 17,838 36.8% 2nd
Salford 72,169 57.9% 9,729 23.3% 2nd
Sefton Central 74,746 76.4% 19,600 34.3% 2nd
Southport 74,168 67.2% 25,092 50.4% 1st
South Ribble 72,029 68.3% 26,348 53.5% 1st
Stalybridge and Hyde 73,028 58.0% 16,079 38.0% 2nd
St Helens North 76,082 62.5% 12,661 26.6% 2nd
St Helens South and Whiston 70,937 64.0% 9,666 21.3% 2nd
Stockport 74,769 61.5% 12,968 28.2% 2nd
Stretford and Urmston 73,212 68.4% 13,778 27.5% 2nd
Tatton 75,538 73.3% 31,732 57.3% 1st
Wallasey 73,054 70.5% 13,347 25.9% 2nd
Warrington North 72,350 64.3% 19,054 40.9% 2nd
Warrington South 76,639 70.6% 24,008 44.4% 2nd
West Lancashire 73,652 71.5% 19,122 36.3% 2nd
Westmorland and Lonsdale 72,322 74.9% 27,188 50.2% 1st
Whitehaven and Workington 73,385 67.3% 23,904 48.4% 1st
Widnes and Halewood 70,865 66.6% 9,829 20.8% 2nd
Wigan 75,607 59.6% 14,314 31.8% 2nd
Wirral West 72,126 77.7% 24,863 44.4% 2nd
Worsley and Eccles 76,915 64.4% 19,097 38.5% 2nd
Wythenshawe and Sale East 76,971 58.2% 13,459 30.1% 2nd

Turnout as calculated by the House of Commons Library, is the total number of votes cast and not spoiled, divided by the size of the electorate.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.