Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 Wales - Elections contested by Labour

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Figures presented for Labour include those candidates certified by both the Labour and the Co-operative parties.

Constituency Electorate Turnout Votes Vote share Position
Aberafan Maesteg 69,817 63.6% 23,509 52.9% 1st
Alyn and Deeside 75,695 69.2% 22,374 42.7% 1st
Bangor Aberconwy 70,468 68.7% 18,606 38.4% 2nd
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney 71,079 59.2% 21,215 50.4% 1st
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe 72,113 72.5% 9,164 17.5% 3rd
Bridgend 70,770 66.0% 17,978 38.5% 2nd
Caerfyrddin 72,683 73.4% 13,380 25.1% 3rd
Caerphilly 72,458 62.2% 19,783 43.9% 1st
Cardiff East 72,463 64.6% 27,705 59.2% 1st
Cardiff North 71,143 76.9% 27,130 49.6% 1st
Cardiff South and Penarth 72,269 69.7% 27,030 53.7% 1st
Cardiff West 73,947 70.2% 26,051 50.2% 1st
Ceredigion Preseli 74,063 69.8% 10,733 20.8% 3rd
Clwyd East 76,395 69.1% 20,040 37.9% 2nd
Clwyd North 76,150 67.4% 20,645 40.3% 2nd
Dwyfor Meirionnydd 72,533 69.6% 11,541 22.8% 3rd
Gower 76,801 70.6% 24,812 45.8% 1st
Llanelli 69,895 62.8% 17,256 39.3% 1st
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare 74,805 57.6% 22,292 51.7% 1st
Mid and South Pembrokeshire 76,820 71.6% 20,451 37.2% 2nd
Monmouthshire 72,681 72.7% 16,731 31.6% 2nd
Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr 74,223 69.0% 12,701 24.8% 2nd
Neath and Swansea East 74,705 60.0% 21,102 47.1% 1st
Newport East 76,159 60.9% 22,038 47.5% 1st
Newport West and Islwyn 76,234 63.7% 20,286 41.8% 1st
Pontypridd 73,743 61.8% 21,254 46.6% 1st
Rhondda and Ogmore 73,557 57.8% 23,949 56.3% 1st
Swansea West 74,612 59.2% 22,709 51.4% 1st
Torfaen 70,591 61.7% 18,616 42.7% 1st
Vale of Glamorgan 70,426 71.0% 21,969 43.9% 2nd
Wrexham 70,964 66.4% 17,994 38.2% 2nd
Ynys Môn 52,415 69.7% 10,991 30.1% 2nd

Turnout as calculated by the House of Commons Library, is the total number of votes cast and not spoiled, divided by the size of the electorate.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.