Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 Northern Ireland - by turnout

Parties Constituencies Majorities Vote shares of winning candidates Turnouts

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Ranking Constituency Winning party Valid vote count Electorate Turnout (valid vote count / electorate)
1 Fermanagh and South Tyrone SF 51,635 74,643 69.2%
2 Belfast North SF 48,140 71,372 67.4%
3 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 47,669 71,978 66.2%
4 Belfast East DUP 45,126 70,076 64.4%
5 Mid Ulster SF 44,534 70,094 63.5%
6 Foyle SDLP 44,276 69,890 63.4%
7 South Down SF 45,007 71,772 62.7%
8 Newry and Armagh SF 46,571 74,585 62.4%
9 West Tyrone SF 43,891 70,614 62.2%
10 North Down APNI 42,757 70,412 60.7%
11 Upper Bann DUP 46,442 76,969 60.3%
12 Lagan Valley DUP 45,707 76,332 59.9%
13 Belfast West SF 42,899 71,921 59.6%
14 South Antrim DUP 42,668 71,646 59.6%
15 East Antrim DUP 40,156 69,936 57.4%
16 North Antrim DUP 40,622 71,165 57.1%
17 East Londonderry DUP 41,101 72,213 56.9%
18 Strangford DUP 39,834 70,070 56.8%

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.