Notional election for the constituency of Lagan Valley on 12 December 2019

A notional election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Lagan Valley, forming part of the notional general election on 12 December 2019.

Democratic Unionist Party win with a majority of 7,475 - 16.4% - on a turnout of 59.9%.

Candidates

Party Vote Vote share
Democratic Unionist Party 19,840 43.4%
Alliance 12,365 27.1%
Ulster Unionist Party 8,460 18.5%
Sinn Féin 1,994 4.4%
Social Democratic & Labour Party 1,855 4.1%
Conservative 878 1.9%
UK Independence Party 315 0.7%

An electorate of 76,332, having a valid vote count of 45,707.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.