Notional election for the constituency of Fermanagh and South Tyrone on 12 December 2019.

A notional election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Fermanagh and South Tyrone, forming part of the notional general election on 12 December 2019.

Sinn Féin win with a majority of 510 - 1.0% - on a turnout of 69.2%.

Candidates

Party Vote Vote share
Sinn Féin 21,968 42.5%
Ulster Unionist Party 21,458 41.6%
Social Democratic & Labour Party 3,717 7.2%
Alliance 2,784 5.4%
Democratic Unionist Party 896 1.7%
Independent 751 1.5%
Aontú 61 0.1%

An electorate of 74,643, having a valid vote count of 51,635.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.