Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 South West, England - by turnout
A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.
Ranking | Constituency | Winning party | Valid vote count | Electorate | Turnout (valid vote count / electorate) |
1 | Wells and Mendip Hills | Con | 56,441 | 69,843 | 80.8% |
2 | Stroud | Con | 60,688 | 76,249 | 79.6% |
3 | North East Somerset and Hanham | Con | 57,437 | 73,113 | 78.6% |
4 | Bath | LD | 56,876 | 73,241 | 77.7% |
5 | Melksham and Devizes | Con | 55,764 | 71,823 | 77.6% |
6 | Central Devon | Con | 56,724 | 73,491 | 77.2% |
7 | North Somerset | Con | 56,864 | 73,963 | 76.9% |
8 | St Ives | Con | 53,899 | 70,107 | 76.9% |
9 | West Dorset | Con | 57,813 | 75,390 | 76.7% |
10 | Honiton and Sidmouth | Con | 56,809 | 74,365 | 76.4% |
11 | Bristol North West | Lab | 58,405 | 76,783 | 76.1% |
12 | Glastonbury and Somerton | Con | 53,194 | 70,015 | 76.0% |
13 | South Devon | Con | 54,189 | 71,691 | 75.6% |
14 | Cheltenham | Con | 56,883 | 75,292 | 75.5% |
15 | Truro and Falmouth | Con | 55,178 | 73,326 | 75.3% |
16 | Salisbury | Con | 52,742 | 70,242 | 75.1% |
17 | Exmouth and Exeter East | Con | 55,832 | 74,502 | 74.9% |
18 | Thornbury and Yate | Con | 56,083 | 74,935 | 74.8% |
19 | South West Devon | Con | 56,100 | 75,371 | 74.4% |
20 | Tewkesbury | Con | 53,858 | 72,426 | 74.4% |
21 | North Dorset | Con | 53,464 | 72,109 | 74.1% |
22 | Mid Dorset and North Poole | Con | 54,907 | 74,305 | 73.9% |
23 | St Austell and Newquay | Con | 55,098 | 74,585 | 73.9% |
24 | Bristol Central | Lab | 51,427 | 70,227 | 73.2% |
25 | Torridge and Tavistock | Con | 54,668 | 74,802 | 73.1% |
26 | South Cotswolds | Con | 53,189 | 72,865 | 73.0% |
27 | South East Cornwall | Con | 52,247 | 71,734 | 72.8% |
28 | Bristol East | Lab | 55,286 | 75,936 | 72.8% |
29 | North Devon | Con | 55,581 | 76,455 | 72.7% |
30 | Christchurch | Con | 51,890 | 71,598 | 72.5% |
31 | North Cornwall | Con | 54,077 | 75,034 | 72.1% |
32 | Forest of Dean | Con | 51,475 | 71,510 | 72.0% |
33 | Newton Abbot | Con | 52,410 | 72,956 | 71.8% |
34 | North Cotswolds | Con | 50,793 | 70,915 | 71.6% |
35 | Taunton and Wellington | Con | 54,440 | 76,049 | 71.6% |
36 | Yeovil | Con | 54,128 | 76,056 | 71.2% |
37 | Chippenham | Con | 50,519 | 71,648 | 70.5% |
38 | Camborne and Redruth | Con | 51,581 | 73,568 | 70.1% |
39 | Bristol North East | Lab | 48,905 | 69,793 | 70.1% |
40 | Filton and Bradley Stoke | Con | 51,495 | 73,598 | 70.0% |
41 | Tiverton and Minehead | Con | 49,411 | 70,829 | 69.8% |
42 | East Wiltshire | Con | 48,988 | 71,109 | 68.9% |
43 | South Dorset | Con | 52,719 | 76,640 | 68.8% |
44 | Frome and East Somerset | Con | 47,970 | 70,177 | 68.4% |
45 | Swindon South | Con | 49,527 | 72,468 | 68.3% |
46 | Poole | Con | 48,801 | 72,162 | 67.6% |
47 | Exeter | Lab | 48,358 | 71,713 | 67.4% |
48 | Bournemouth East | Con | 49,328 | 73,173 | 67.4% |
49 | Torbay | Con | 50,971 | 75,742 | 67.3% |
50 | Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | Lab | 49,263 | 73,495 | 67.0% |
51 | Gloucester | Con | 51,093 | 76,695 | 66.6% |
52 | South West Wiltshire | Con | 47,237 | 71,551 | 66.0% |
53 | Swindon North | Con | 47,381 | 72,163 | 65.7% |
54 | Plymouth Moor View | Con | 48,152 | 73,378 | 65.6% |
55 | Weston-super-Mare | Con | 45,872 | 70,722 | 64.9% |
56 | Bristol South | Lab | 48,268 | 74,696 | 64.6% |
57 | Bournemouth West | Con | 45,752 | 72,094 | 63.5% |
58 | Bridgwater | Con | 45,004 | 71,418 | 63.0% |
Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies
BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.
Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.
An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.