Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 South East, England - by majority
A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.
Ranking | Constituency | Winning party | Majority | Valid vote count | Majority / valid vote count |
1 | Weald of Kent | Con | 28,751 | 49,652 | 57.9% |
2 | New Forest East | Con | 25,251 | 50,786 | 49.7% |
3 | Tonbridge | Con | 27,052 | 54,450 | 49.7% |
4 | New Forest West | Con | 24,403 | 50,306 | 48.5% |
5 | Gosport | Con | 23,278 | 48,453 | 48.0% |
6 | Havant | Con | 21,792 | 45,959 | 47.4% |
7 | Sussex Weald | Con | 23,164 | 49,418 | 46.9% |
8 | Sittingbourne and Sheppey | Con | 21,337 | 46,763 | 45.6% |
9 | Bognor Regis and Littlehampton | Con | 22,682 | 52,510 | 43.2% |
10 | Faversham and Mid Kent | Con | 20,618 | 48,215 | 42.8% |
11 | Sevenoaks | Con | 21,793 | 51,488 | 42.3% |
12 | Fareham and Waterlooville | Con | 21,276 | 50,378 | 42.2% |
13 | Mid Buckinghamshire | Con | 22,648 | 54,223 | 41.8% |
14 | North West Hampshire | Con | 21,507 | 51,687 | 41.6% |
15 | Arundel and South Downs | Con | 24,105 | 58,105 | 41.5% |
16 | Chatham and Aylesford | Con | 18,992 | 45,809 | 41.5% |
17 | Hamble Valley | Con | 23,488 | 57,041 | 41.2% |
18 | Bexhill and Battle | Con | 20,384 | 49,737 | 41.0% |
19 | Herne Bay and Sandwich | Con | 20,372 | 50,962 | 40.0% |
20 | East Surrey | Con | 20,565 | 51,475 | 40.0% |
21 | Maidstone and Malling | Con | 19,448 | 48,907 | 39.8% |
22 | North East Hampshire | Con | 22,433 | 56,730 | 39.5% |
23 | Chichester | Con | 19,622 | 51,022 | 38.5% |
24 | East Hampshire | Con | 20,200 | 54,175 | 37.3% |
25 | Spelthorne | Con | 18,393 | 49,510 | 37.2% |
26 | Windsor | Con | 18,247 | 50,031 | 36.5% |
27 | Reigate | Con | 19,220 | 53,469 | 35.9% |
28 | East Grinstead and Uckfield | Con | 20,291 | 57,231 | 35.5% |
29 | Ashford | Con | 17,211 | 48,579 | 35.4% |
30 | Oxford East | Lab | 15,959 | 45,598 | 35.0% |
31 | Aldershot | Con | 17,985 | 51,828 | 34.7% |
32 | Brighton Pavilion | Green | 19,630 | 57,101 | 34.4% |
33 | Portsmouth North | Con | 15,780 | 45,910 | 34.4% |
34 | Chesham and Amersham | Con | 18,216 | 53,711 | 33.9% |
35 | Reading West and Mid Berkshire | Con | 16,758 | 49,444 | 33.9% |
36 | Maidenhead | Con | 17,101 | 50,914 | 33.6% |
37 | Isle of Wight East | Con | 12,119 | 36,339 | 33.3% |
38 | Gillingham and Rainham | Con | 15,119 | 45,958 | 32.9% |
39 | Gravesham | Con | 15,581 | 47,560 | 32.8% |
40 | Witney | Con | 15,674 | 48,839 | 32.1% |
41 | Dartford | Con | 14,704 | 46,488 | 31.6% |
42 | Horsham | Con | 17,353 | 55,850 | 31.1% |
43 | Runnymede and Weybridge | Con | 16,072 | 52,669 | 30.5% |
44 | Isle of Wight West | Con | 11,618 | 38,103 | 30.5% |
45 | Rochester and Strood | Con | 13,553 | 44,635 | 30.4% |
46 | Hove and Portslade | Lab | 17,044 | 56,391 | 30.2% |
47 | Bracknell | Con | 14,129 | 46,888 | 30.1% |
48 | Surrey Heath | Con | 15,552 | 52,131 | 29.8% |
49 | Romsey and Southampton North | Con | 16,251 | 54,704 | 29.7% |
50 | Folkestone and Hythe | Con | 13,239 | 44,795 | 29.6% |
51 | Epsom and Ewell | Con | 16,856 | 57,397 | 29.4% |
52 | Slough | Lab | 13,347 | 45,560 | 29.3% |
53 | Aylesbury | Con | 16,640 | 57,888 | 28.7% |
54 | Bicester and Woodstock | Con | 14,205 | 51,991 | 27.3% |
55 | Banbury | Con | 13,799 | 50,810 | 27.2% |
56 | Tunbridge Wells | Con | 14,645 | 54,650 | 26.8% |
57 | Farnham and Bordon | Con | 13,577 | 51,141 | 26.5% |
58 | Worthing West | Con | 13,912 | 52,560 | 26.5% |
59 | Beaconsfield | Con | 13,772 | 52,633 | 26.2% |
60 | Mid Sussex | Con | 13,665 | 52,949 | 25.8% |
61 | Buckingham and Bletchley | Con | 13,345 | 52,609 | 25.4% |
62 | Dover and Deal | Con | 12,421 | 51,197 | 24.3% |
63 | Basingstoke | Con | 12,301 | 51,181 | 24.0% |
64 | Wokingham | Con | 12,750 | 55,012 | 23.2% |
65 | Newbury | Con | 11,460 | 50,971 | 22.5% |
66 | Henley and Thame | Con | 11,901 | 53,842 | 22.1% |
67 | Earley and Woodley | Con | 11,293 | 51,110 | 22.1% |
68 | Godalming and Ash | Con | 10,720 | 55,674 | 19.3% |
69 | Dorking and Horley | Con | 10,381 | 54,495 | 19.0% |
70 | Didcot and Wantage | Con | 10,023 | 54,346 | 18.4% |
71 | Oxford West and Abingdon | LD | 9,577 | 52,915 | 18.1% |
72 | Eastleigh | Con | 8,641 | 49,572 | 17.4% |
73 | Woking | Con | 8,683 | 50,475 | 17.2% |
74 | Crawley | Con | 8,360 | 49,899 | 16.8% |
75 | Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven | Lab | 8,280 | 49,430 | 16.8% |
76 | Reading Central | Lab | 8,351 | 51,530 | 16.2% |
77 | East Thanet | Con | 7,585 | 47,924 | 15.8% |
78 | Winchester | Con | 9,050 | 63,911 | 14.2% |
79 | East Worthing and Shoreham | Con | 7,474 | 53,128 | 14.1% |
80 | Southampton Test | Lab | 6,213 | 44,994 | 13.8% |
81 | Milton Keynes North | Con | 6,327 | 48,284 | 13.1% |
82 | Portsmouth South | Lab | 5,363 | 47,425 | 11.3% |
83 | Southampton Itchen | Con | 4,498 | 47,421 | 9.5% |
84 | Milton Keynes Central | Con | 4,952 | 52,650 | 9.4% |
85 | Lewes | Con | 4,126 | 55,580 | 7.4% |
86 | Hastings and Rye | Con | 3,532 | 52,566 | 6.7% |
87 | Guildford | Con | 3,117 | 52,584 | 5.9% |
88 | Esher and Walton | Con | 3,015 | 56,178 | 5.4% |
89 | Eastbourne | Con | 2,168 | 51,259 | 4.2% |
90 | Canterbury | Lab | 2,160 | 57,166 | 3.8% |
91 | Wycombe | Con | 1,494 | 46,892 | 3.2% |
Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies
BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.
Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.
An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.