Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 South East, England - by majority

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Ranking Constituency Winning party Majority Valid vote count Majority / valid vote count
1 Weald of Kent Con 28,751 49,652 57.9%
2 New Forest East Con 25,251 50,786 49.7%
3 Tonbridge Con 27,052 54,450 49.7%
4 New Forest West Con 24,403 50,306 48.5%
5 Gosport Con 23,278 48,453 48.0%
6 Havant Con 21,792 45,959 47.4%
7 Sussex Weald Con 23,164 49,418 46.9%
8 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Con 21,337 46,763 45.6%
9 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Con 22,682 52,510 43.2%
10 Faversham and Mid Kent Con 20,618 48,215 42.8%
11 Sevenoaks Con 21,793 51,488 42.3%
12 Fareham and Waterlooville Con 21,276 50,378 42.2%
13 Mid Buckinghamshire Con 22,648 54,223 41.8%
14 North West Hampshire Con 21,507 51,687 41.6%
15 Arundel and South Downs Con 24,105 58,105 41.5%
16 Chatham and Aylesford Con 18,992 45,809 41.5%
17 Hamble Valley Con 23,488 57,041 41.2%
18 Bexhill and Battle Con 20,384 49,737 41.0%
19 Herne Bay and Sandwich Con 20,372 50,962 40.0%
20 East Surrey Con 20,565 51,475 40.0%
21 Maidstone and Malling Con 19,448 48,907 39.8%
22 North East Hampshire Con 22,433 56,730 39.5%
23 Chichester Con 19,622 51,022 38.5%
24 East Hampshire Con 20,200 54,175 37.3%
25 Spelthorne Con 18,393 49,510 37.2%
26 Windsor Con 18,247 50,031 36.5%
27 Reigate Con 19,220 53,469 35.9%
28 East Grinstead and Uckfield Con 20,291 57,231 35.5%
29 Ashford Con 17,211 48,579 35.4%
30 Oxford East Lab 15,959 45,598 35.0%
31 Aldershot Con 17,985 51,828 34.7%
32 Brighton Pavilion Green 19,630 57,101 34.4%
33 Portsmouth North Con 15,780 45,910 34.4%
34 Chesham and Amersham Con 18,216 53,711 33.9%
35 Reading West and Mid Berkshire Con 16,758 49,444 33.9%
36 Maidenhead Con 17,101 50,914 33.6%
37 Isle of Wight East Con 12,119 36,339 33.3%
38 Gillingham and Rainham Con 15,119 45,958 32.9%
39 Gravesham Con 15,581 47,560 32.8%
40 Witney Con 15,674 48,839 32.1%
41 Dartford Con 14,704 46,488 31.6%
42 Horsham Con 17,353 55,850 31.1%
43 Runnymede and Weybridge Con 16,072 52,669 30.5%
44 Isle of Wight West Con 11,618 38,103 30.5%
45 Rochester and Strood Con 13,553 44,635 30.4%
46 Hove and Portslade Lab 17,044 56,391 30.2%
47 Bracknell Con 14,129 46,888 30.1%
48 Surrey Heath Con 15,552 52,131 29.8%
49 Romsey and Southampton North Con 16,251 54,704 29.7%
50 Folkestone and Hythe Con 13,239 44,795 29.6%
51 Epsom and Ewell Con 16,856 57,397 29.4%
52 Slough Lab 13,347 45,560 29.3%
53 Aylesbury Con 16,640 57,888 28.7%
54 Bicester and Woodstock Con 14,205 51,991 27.3%
55 Banbury Con 13,799 50,810 27.2%
56 Tunbridge Wells Con 14,645 54,650 26.8%
57 Farnham and Bordon Con 13,577 51,141 26.5%
58 Worthing West Con 13,912 52,560 26.5%
59 Beaconsfield Con 13,772 52,633 26.2%
60 Mid Sussex Con 13,665 52,949 25.8%
61 Buckingham and Bletchley Con 13,345 52,609 25.4%
62 Dover and Deal Con 12,421 51,197 24.3%
63 Basingstoke Con 12,301 51,181 24.0%
64 Wokingham Con 12,750 55,012 23.2%
65 Newbury Con 11,460 50,971 22.5%
66 Henley and Thame Con 11,901 53,842 22.1%
67 Earley and Woodley Con 11,293 51,110 22.1%
68 Godalming and Ash Con 10,720 55,674 19.3%
69 Dorking and Horley Con 10,381 54,495 19.0%
70 Didcot and Wantage Con 10,023 54,346 18.4%
71 Oxford West and Abingdon LD 9,577 52,915 18.1%
72 Eastleigh Con 8,641 49,572 17.4%
73 Woking Con 8,683 50,475 17.2%
74 Crawley Con 8,360 49,899 16.8%
75 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Lab 8,280 49,430 16.8%
76 Reading Central Lab 8,351 51,530 16.2%
77 East Thanet Con 7,585 47,924 15.8%
78 Winchester Con 9,050 63,911 14.2%
79 East Worthing and Shoreham Con 7,474 53,128 14.1%
80 Southampton Test Lab 6,213 44,994 13.8%
81 Milton Keynes North Con 6,327 48,284 13.1%
82 Portsmouth South Lab 5,363 47,425 11.3%
83 Southampton Itchen Con 4,498 47,421 9.5%
84 Milton Keynes Central Con 4,952 52,650 9.4%
85 Lewes Con 4,126 55,580 7.4%
86 Hastings and Rye Con 3,532 52,566 6.7%
87 Guildford Con 3,117 52,584 5.9%
88 Esher and Walton Con 3,015 56,178 5.4%
89 Eastbourne Con 2,168 51,259 4.2%
90 Canterbury Lab 2,160 57,166 3.8%
91 Wycombe Con 1,494 46,892 3.2%

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.