Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 Elections contested by Scottish National Party
A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.
Constituency | Electorate | Turnout | Votes | Vote share | Position |
Dundee Central | 75,298 | 62.0% | 26,347 | 56.5% | 1st |
Aberdeen North | 76,895 | 65.2% | 26,516 | 52.9% | 1st |
Alloa and Grangemouth | 72,265 | 63.2% | 24,050 | 52.7% | 1st |
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | 70,579 | 68.3% | 25,084 | 52.0% | 1st |
Falkirk | 75,067 | 64.9% | 25,210 | 51.8% | 1st |
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry | 76,810 | 67.9% | 26,550 | 50.9% | 1st |
Kilmarnock and Loudoun | 74,801 | 63.7% | 24,216 | 50.8% | 1st |
Angus and Perthshire Glens | 77,006 | 73.4% | 28,509 | 50.4% | 1st |
Stirling and Strathallan | 77,008 | 75.1% | 28,810 | 49.8% | 1st |
Paisley and Renfrewshire South | 69,813 | 66.0% | 22,933 | 49.8% | 1st |
West Dunbartonshire | 70,286 | 66.3% | 23,163 | 49.7% | 1st |
Glenrothes and Mid Fife | 69,734 | 60.6% | 20,921 | 49.5% | 1st |
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | 75,705 | 69.0% | 25,587 | 49.0% | 1st |
Paisley and Renfrewshire North | 69,941 | 66.9% | 22,856 | 48.9% | 1st |
Glasgow East | 69,748 | 59.0% | 20,055 | 48.7% | 1st |
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire | 76,903 | 66.0% | 24,717 | 48.7% | 1st |
Glasgow West | 72,499 | 65.2% | 22,964 | 48.6% | 1st |
North Ayrshire and Arran | 73,588 | 65.4% | 23,376 | 48.5% | 1st |
Glasgow South | 71,344 | 68.0% | 23,449 | 48.3% | 1st |
Glasgow North East | 75,236 | 56.7% | 20,375 | 47.7% | 1st |
Edinburgh South West | 73,315 | 71.1% | 24,830 | 47.6% | 1st |
Glasgow North | 73,210 | 56.7% | 19,754 | 47.6% | 1st |
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | 70,418 | 65.8% | 21,995 | 47.5% | 1st |
Coatbridge and Bellshill | 72,507 | 63.3% | 21,730 | 47.3% | 1st |
Livingston | 75,454 | 65.3% | 23,275 | 47.3% | 1st |
East Kilbride and Strathaven | 75,161 | 68.8% | 24,311 | 47.0% | 1st |
Glasgow South West | 70,431 | 61.1% | 20,094 | 46.7% | 1st |
Central Ayrshire | 69,779 | 66.7% | 21,486 | 46.2% | 1st |
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey | 76,237 | 73.8% | 25,941 | 46.1% | 1st |
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | 72,318 | 62.1% | 20,638 | 45.9% | 1st |
Aberdeen South | 76,560 | 65.5% | 22,683 | 45.3% | 1st |
Perth and Kinross-shire | 76,320 | 74.0% | 25,562 | 45.3% | 1st |
Na h-Eileanan an Iar | 21,177 | 68.4% | 6,531 | 45.1% | 1st |
East Renfrewshire | 72,959 | 75.9% | 24,877 | 44.9% | 1st |
Airdrie and Shotts | 70,420 | 65.8% | 20,667 | 44.6% | 1st |
Dunfermline and Dollar | 70,725 | 68.7% | 21,536 | 44.3% | 1st |
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber | 71,707 | 70.7% | 22,403 | 44.2% | 1st |
Edinburgh North and Leith | 76,770 | 76.7% | 25,773 | 43.8% | 1st |
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | 72,057 | 64.7% | 20,272 | 43.5% | 1st |
Hamilton and Clyde Valley | 74,577 | 63.6% | 20,604 | 43.4% | 1st |
Rutherglen | 71,612 | 68.4% | 21,127 | 43.1% | 1st |
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | 71,485 | 64.2% | 19,775 | 43.1% | 2nd |
Bathgate and Linlithgow | 71,650 | 65.9% | 20,306 | 43.0% | 1st |
Midlothian | 71,210 | 67.7% | 20,033 | 41.5% | 1st |
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine | 73,634 | 72.4% | 21,909 | 41.1% | 2nd |
North East Fife | 70,452 | 74.1% | 21,371 | 41.0% | 1st |
Dumfries and Galloway | 76,863 | 68.3% | 21,443 | 40.8% | 2nd |
Gordon and Buchan | 70,238 | 67.8% | 18,650 | 39.2% | 2nd |
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | 75,173 | 70.1% | 20,498 | 38.9% | 1st |
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | 74,687 | 71.2% | 20,599 | 38.8% | 2nd |
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | 70,738 | 72.0% | 19,311 | 37.9% | 2nd |
Mid Dunbartonshire | 75,099 | 78.0% | 22,179 | 37.9% | 1st |
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | 70,329 | 67.0% | 17,122 | 36.3% | 1st |
Lothian East | 71,287 | 71.2% | 17,671 | 34.8% | 1st |
Orkney and Shetland | 34,824 | 66.5% | 7,874 | 34.0% | 2nd |
Edinburgh West | 76,723 | 71.7% | 18,149 | 33.0% | 2nd |
Edinburgh South | 70,980 | 74.7% | 13,713 | 25.9% | 2nd |
Turnout as calculated by the House of Commons Library, is the total number of votes cast and not spoiled, divided by the size of the electorate.
Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.
Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies
BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.
Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.
An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.