Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 Wales - Elections won by Conservative

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Constituency Electorate Turnout Votes Vote share Majority
Bangor Aberconwy 70,468 68.7% 19,355 40.0% 749
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe 72,113 72.5% 24,368 46.6% 9,091
Bridgend 70,770 66.0% 20,531 44.0% 2,553
Caerfyrddin 72,683 73.4% 20,891 39.2% 4,529
Clwyd East 76,395 69.1% 25,324 47.9% 5,284
Clwyd North 76,150 67.4% 23,479 45.8% 2,834
Mid and South Pembrokeshire 76,820 71.6% 29,072 52.9% 8,621
Monmouthshire 72,681 72.7% 27,568 52.1% 10,837
Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr 74,223 69.0% 27,466 53.6% 14,765
Vale of Glamorgan 70,426 71.0% 24,535 49.1% 2,566
Wrexham 70,964 66.4% 21,933 46.5% 3,939
Ynys Môn 52,415 69.7% 12,959 35.5% 1,968

Turnout as calculated by the House of Commons Library, is the total number of votes cast and not spoiled, divided by the size of the electorate.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.