Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 South West, England - Elections contested by Conservative

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Constituency Electorate Turnout Votes Vote share Position
Bath 73,241 77.7% 18,251 32.1% 2nd
Bournemouth East 73,173 67.4% 24,957 50.6% 1st
Bournemouth West 72,094 63.5% 24,512 53.6% 1st
Bridgwater 71,418 63.0% 26,058 57.9% 1st
Bristol Central 70,227 73.2% 7,376 14.3% 3rd
Bristol East 75,936 72.8% 12,887 23.3% 2nd
Bristol North East 69,793 70.1% 19,134 39.1% 2nd
Bristol North West 76,783 76.1% 21,312 36.5% 2nd
Bristol South 74,696 64.6% 15,840 32.8% 2nd
Camborne and Redruth 73,568 70.1% 27,471 53.3% 1st
Central Devon 73,491 77.2% 31,366 55.3% 1st
Cheltenham 75,292 75.5% 27,563 48.5% 1st
Chippenham 71,648 70.5% 28,485 56.4% 1st
Christchurch 71,598 72.5% 34,037 65.6% 1st
East Wiltshire 71,109 68.9% 32,301 65.9% 1st
Exeter 71,713 67.4% 15,512 32.1% 2nd
Exmouth and Exeter East 74,502 74.9% 27,828 49.8% 1st
Filton and Bradley Stoke 73,598 70.0% 26,263 51.0% 1st
Forest of Dean 71,510 72.0% 30,680 59.6% 1st
Frome and East Somerset 70,177 68.4% 23,646 49.3% 1st
Glastonbury and Somerton 70,015 76.0% 30,606 57.5% 1st
Gloucester 76,695 66.6% 27,887 54.6% 1st
Honiton and Sidmouth 74,365 76.4% 34,307 60.4% 1st
Melksham and Devizes 71,823 77.6% 32,227 57.8% 1st
Mid Dorset and North Poole 74,305 73.9% 32,965 60.0% 1st
Newton Abbot 72,956 71.8% 29,117 55.6% 1st
North Cornwall 75,034 72.1% 31,941 59.1% 1st
North Cotswolds 70,915 71.6% 30,140 59.3% 1st
North Devon 76,455 72.7% 31,479 56.6% 1st
North Dorset 72,109 74.1% 34,085 63.8% 1st
North East Somerset and Hanham 73,113 78.6% 31,435 54.7% 1st
North Somerset 73,963 76.9% 30,411 53.5% 1st
Plymouth Moor View 73,378 65.6% 28,810 59.8% 1st
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport 73,495 67.0% 18,725 38.0% 2nd
Poole 72,162 67.6% 28,695 58.8% 1st
Salisbury 70,242 75.1% 29,138 55.2% 1st
South Cotswolds 72,865 73.0% 30,798 57.9% 1st
South Devon 71,691 75.6% 29,027 53.6% 1st
South Dorset 76,640 68.8% 31,209 59.2% 1st
South East Cornwall 71,734 72.8% 30,839 59.0% 1st
South West Devon 75,371 74.4% 35,102 62.6% 1st
South West Wiltshire 71,551 66.0% 27,546 58.3% 1st
St Austell and Newquay 74,585 73.9% 30,620 55.6% 1st
St Ives 70,107 76.9% 26,403 49.0% 1st
Stroud 76,249 79.6% 27,733 45.7% 1st
Swindon North 72,163 65.7% 27,719 58.5% 1st
Swindon South 72,468 68.3% 25,564 51.6% 1st
Taunton and Wellington 76,049 71.6% 28,298 52.0% 1st
Tewkesbury 72,426 74.4% 31,291 58.1% 1st
Thornbury and Yate 74,935 74.8% 32,798 58.5% 1st
Tiverton and Minehead 70,829 69.8% 30,297 61.3% 1st
Torbay 75,742 67.3% 30,109 59.1% 1st
Torridge and Tavistock 74,802 73.1% 32,708 59.8% 1st
Truro and Falmouth 73,326 75.3% 25,842 46.8% 1st
Wells and Mendip Hills 69,843 80.8% 31,678 56.1% 1st
West Dorset 75,390 76.7% 31,375 54.3% 1st
Weston-super-Mare 70,722 64.9% 26,210 57.1% 1st
Yeovil 76,056 71.2% 31,477 58.2% 1st

Turnout as calculated by the House of Commons Library, is the total number of votes cast and not spoiled, divided by the size of the electorate.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.