Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 Northern Ireland - Elections contested by Conservative

A notional general election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom with an electorate of 47,558,398, having 32,014,119 valid votes.

Constituency Electorate Turnout Votes Vote share Position
Belfast North 71,372 67.4% 5 0.0% 8th
Belfast South and Mid Down 71,978 66.2% 167 0.4% 7th
Belfast West 71,921 59.6% 41 0.1% 8th
East Antrim 69,936 57.4% 1,007 2.5% 6th
Lagan Valley 76,332 59.9% 878 1.9% 6th
North Antrim 71,165 57.1% 17 0.0% 7th
North Down 70,412 60.7% 1,959 4.6% 4th
South Antrim 71,646 59.6% 18 0.0% 6th
Strangford 70,070 56.8% 1,341 3.4% 6th

Turnout as calculated by the House of Commons Library, is the total number of votes cast and not spoiled, divided by the size of the electorate.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies

BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.

An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.