Notional election for the constituency of Hornchurch and Upminster on 12 December 2019
A notional election to the 58th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Hornchurch and Upminster, forming part of the notional general election on 12 December 2019.
Conservative win with a majority of 21,735 - 42.6% - on a turnout of 66.4%.
An electorate of 76,938, having a valid vote count of 51,053.
Candidates
| Party | Vote | Vote share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 33,404 | 65.4% |
| Labour | 11,669 | 22.9% |
| Liberal Democrat | 3,634 | 7.1% |
| Green Party | 1,836 | 3.6% |
| British National Party | 510 | 1.0% |
Gain or hold information and vote change percentages are calculated according to changes since the preceding general election and take no account of intervening by-elections. The calculations are based on changes to party performance, rather than the performance of an individual candidate. Where the boundary of a constituency has changed since the preceding general election, the calculations are based on estimated notional results for the new boundaries at the previous election.
Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.
Estimates of the 2019 general election result in new constituencies
BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.
Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News.
An explanation of the methods used and the electoral impact of the changes can be found in the linked document.